经典重译之股票大作手回忆录(346)
原文(376):
The reason why I didn't sell out my Utah Copper before was that I was bullish on the copper trade and it was a bull market in stocks and I didn't think that Utah would hurt me much even if I didn't make a killing in it.But as for hunches,there weren't any.
The training of a stock trader is like a medical education.The physician has to spend long years learning anatomy,physiology,materia medica and collateral subjects by the dozen.He learns the theory and then proceeds to devote his life to the practice.He observes and classifies all sorts of pathological phenomena.
He learns to diagnose.If his diagnosis is correct—and that depends upon the accuracy of his observation—he ought to do pretty well in his prognosis,always keeping in mind,of course,that human fallibility and the utterly unforeseen will keep him from scoring 100 per cent of bull's-eyes.
And then,as he gains in experience,he learns not only to do the right thing but to do it instantly,so that many people will think he does it instinctively.
It really isn't automatism.It is that he has diagnosed the case according to his observations of such cases during a period of many years;and,naturally,after he has diagnosed it,he can only treat it in the way that experience has taught him is the proper treatment.
You can transmit knowledge—that is,your particular collection of card-indexed facts—but not your experience.A man may know what to do and lose money—if he doesn't do it quickly enough.
其他版本译文(376):
我之前之所以没有卖掉犹他州铜矿的股票,是因为我看好铜矿业,而市场也是多头市场,就算我用它赚不到钱,也不会因为它而赔掉多少。这里面确实没有灵感之说。
股民们在炒股中受到的训练就像医学教育一般。医生们必须要花费很长时间去学习解剖、生理、药物和另外很多的课程。他们学会这些理论后,开始终生行医。他们对各种疾病引发的病情察言观色后进行分类,学会诊断病情。一旦靠着精确的观察诊断对了,接下来就该更好地防治了。不过要牢牢记住,人是没办法不犯错的,同时还会遇到各种突发性事件的影响,使得诊断不可能百分百正确。其后,他们会逐渐积累更丰富的经验,不但知道怎样做正确的事情,而且会在片刻之间这样做,因此很多人认为医生靠直觉行事。而这真的不是反射动作,而是他通过很多年以来对病人情况的熟悉而逐步学会的。而且当病情得以诊断后,他是利用经验告诉他的正确治疗疾病的方法去进行后续工作的。人们能够学习到知识,比如你可以专门用卡片索引来传播你搜集到的知识点,可是经验这种东西就没办法传承。人们可能会明白该干什么,但是如果速度赶不上,还是要赔本的。
我的译文(376):
那我以前为啥还留着Utah Copper股票不卖呢?因为我是看涨铜市场的,而且股市也是牛市,(所以我觉得),即便这只股票不能让我大赚一笔,也不至于给我造成多大损失。这跟直觉一毛钱的关系都没有!
一个股票交易员与医生是一样的,都需要经过长时间的培训。要想成为一名医生,长时间的学习各种理论,那是必不可少的条件,包括: 解剖学、生理学、药物学以及数十种相关科目。
然后他一生都得投入到实践中,去观察并分类各种病情,然后学着去做出诊断,而能否做出正确的诊断,显然又取决于他观察的准确性。
(所以呢),一个医生也得做好预判,当然还要谨记人的复杂与不稳定性,要考虑到会有意外,不可能百分之百的正中靶心。
然后,随着经验的积累,他学到的就不仅是要做到正确,而且要及时。(培养出犹如条件反射般的肌肉记忆),所以人们以为他是凭着某种本能(或者称直觉)。
你看他治病救人麻利的好像不假思索,那只是因为他经过多年的观察实践,早已见多识广,经验丰富,心下早已有了诊断,并且根据经验,采取了合适的处置。
知识可以来自书本理论,可以整理成册传承下去,但经验光有理论是不够的,必须还得有实践,而且有些经验甚至是只可意会无法言传的。
一个人只知道该做什么,但如果做的不及时,他仍然会赔钱。
引用依据:
1. Edwin Lefèvre: Reminiscences of a Stock Operator
2. 《股票大作手回忆录》([美] 埃德温·勒菲弗 著,汤前燕 译)
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